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Lung cancer · Lung cancer screening

NLST

National Lung Screening Trial

NLST trial design and results
Design Randomised controlled trial
Treatment Three annual rounds of low-dose CT screening
Control Three annual rounds of chest radiography
Population 53454 people at high risk of lung cancer
Follow-up Median 6.5 years
Primary endpoint Lung cancer mortality
Result Screening with low-dose CT reduced lung cancer mortality. Adherence exceeded 90%. Positive screens occurred in 24.2% with low-dose CT versus 6.9% with radiography, and 96.4% of positive low-dose CT results were false positives. Lung cancer incidence was 645 per 100,000 person-years in the CT group.
Secondary endpoints All-cause mortality, false-positive rate, downstream investigation

Screening with the use of low-dose CT reduces mortality from lung cancer.

The trial authors, in the published abstract

How it has aged

Established CT screening and, in the same breath, its central problem: nearly all positive scans were false. NELSON later showed that volumetric nodule assessment brings the referral rate down to 2.1%, which is what makes population screening tolerable in practice.

Publications

Reduced lung-cancer mortality with low-dose computed tomographic screening

Aberle DR, Adams AM, Berg CD, et al. Reduced lung-cancer mortality with low-dose computed tomographic screening. N Engl J Med 2011 Aug 4;365(5):395-409.

  • Significant reduction in lung cancer mortality versus chest radiography
  • 24.2% of low-dose CT screens were positive
  • 96.4% of those positives were false positives