Topic
COVID-19
What the pandemic trials established about steroids, antivirals, and respiratory support.
What the evidence shows
Dexamethasone is the pandemic's most consequential result. It reduced 28-day mortality in patients receiving oxygen or invasive ventilation, and not in those needing neither (RECOVERY dexamethasone). The subgroup structure is the finding rather than a caveat: benefit tracks the severity of respiratory failure. IL-6 receptor blockade added further benefit in critically ill patients (REMAP-CAP IL-6).
Antivirals performed better on paper than in the populations that followed. Remdesivir shortened recovery by five days without a clear mortality benefit (ACTT-1). Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir cut hospitalisation or death by 89% (EPIC-HR) — in unvaccinated, previously uninfected, high-risk adults facing an earlier variant, which is the context anyone quoting that number needs.
Escalated anticoagulation did not help the critically ill (REMAP-CAP anticoagulation), despite the thrombosis rates that prompted it empirically. The trial was stopped for futility.
The methodological legacy may outlast the therapeutic one: adaptive platform trials answered these questions in months, and have since been turned on other diseases.
Anticoagulation in COVID-19
| Trial | Year | Therapy | Effect | Finding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REMAP-CAP anticoagulation | 2021 | Therapeutic-dose heparin | Full-dose anticoagulation did not help critically ill COVID-19 patients |
Antivirals in hospitalised patients
| Trial | Year | Therapy | Effect | Finding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTT-1 | 2020 | Remdesivir | Remdesivir shortened time to recovery by five days without a clear mortality benefit |
Antivirals in outpatients
| Trial | Year | Therapy | Effect | Finding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPIC-HR | 2022 | Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir | Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir cut hospitalisation or death by 89% in unvaccinated high-risk outpatients |
Corticosteroids in COVID-19
| Trial | Year | Therapy | Effect | Finding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RECOVERY dexamethasone | 2021 | Dexamethasone | Dexamethasone reduced mortality in COVID-19 patients needing oxygen, and not in those who did not |
Immunomodulation in critical COVID-19
| Trial | Year | Therapy | Effect | Finding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REMAP-CAP IL-6 | 2021 | Tocilizumab or sarilumab | IL-6 receptor blockade improved organ support-free days and survival in critical COVID-19 |
Key references
Guidelines, standards and reviews for this topic.
- Prevention
- Scott J, Abers MS, Marwah HK, et al. Updated Evidence for Covid-19, RSV, and Influenza Vaccines for 2025-2026. N Engl J Med 2025 Dec 4;393(22):2221-2242. PMID 41160817
- Remdesivir
- Remdesivir and three other drugs for hospitalised patients with COVID-19: final results of the WHO Solidarity randomised trial and updated meta-analyses. Lancet 2022 May 21;399(10339):1941-1953. PMID 35512728
- Ventilatory and oxygen support
- Qin S, Chang W, Peng F, et al. Awake prone position in COVID-19-related acute respiratory failure: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. BMC Pulm Med 2023 Apr 26;23(1):145. PMID 37101160
Studies not yet summarised
On the reading list for this topic and awaiting a full record. Listed here so nothing is hidden.
- Anticoagulation
- Sadeghipour P, Talasaz AH, Rashidi F, et al. Effect of Intermediate-Dose vs Standard-Dose Prophylactic Anticoagulation on Thrombotic Events, Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Treatment, or Mortality Among Patients With COVID-19 Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit: The INSPIRATION Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA 2021 Apr 27;325(16):1620-1630. PMID 33734299
- Antivirals
- Hammond J, Fountaine RJ, Yunis C, et al. Nirmatrelvir for Vaccinated or Unvaccinated Adult Outpatients with Covid-19. N Engl J Med 2024 Apr 4;390(13):1186-1195. PMID 38598573
- Dexamethasone
- Munch MW, Myatra SN, Vijayaraghavan BKT, et al. Effect of 12 mg vs 6 mg of Dexamethasone on the Number of Days Alive Without Life Support in Adults With COVID-19 and Severe Hypoxemia: The COVID STEROID 2 Randomized Trial. JAMA 2021 Nov 9;326(18):1807-1817. PMID 34673895
- Tomazini BM, Maia IS, Cavalcanti AB, et al. Effect of Dexamethasone on Days Alive and Ventilator-Free in Patients With Moderate or Severe Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome and COVID-19: The CoDEX Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA 2020 Oct 6;324(13):1307-1316. PMID 32876695
- IL-6 receptor antagonists
- Kalil AC, Patterson TF, Mehta AK, et al. Baricitinib plus Remdesivir for Hospitalized Adults with Covid-19. N Engl J Med 2021 Mar 4;384(9):795-807. PMID 33306283
- Ventilatory and oxygen support
- Perkins GD, Ji C, Connolly BA, et al. Effect of Noninvasive Respiratory Strategies on Intubation or Mortality Among Patients With Acute Hypoxemic Respiratory Failure and COVID-19: The RECOVERY-RS Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA 2022 Feb 8;327(6):546-558. PMID 35072713
- Frat JP, Quenot JP, Badie J, et al. Effect of High-Flow Nasal Cannula Oxygen vs Standard Oxygen Therapy on Mortality in Patients With Respiratory Failure Due to COVID-19: The SOHO-COVID Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA 2022 Sep 27;328(12):1212-1222. PMID 36166027