High-risk men and women in the Netherlands and Belgium
Follow-up
10 years
Primary endpoint
Lung cancer mortality
Result
At 10 years, lung cancer incidence was 5.58 per 1000 person-years in the screening group versus 4.91 in controls, and lung cancer mortality was significantly lower with screening. Average adherence among men was 90.0%. Only 9.2% underwent an additional indeterminate-result CT, and the referral rate for suspicious nodules was 2.1%.
In this trial involving high-risk persons, lung-cancer mortality was significantly lower among those who underwent volume CT screening than among those who underwent no screening. There were low rates of follow-up procedures for results suggestive of lung cancer.
The trial authors, in the published abstract
How it has aged
The trial that made lung cancer screening deliverable. Comparing against no screening rather than radiography, and using volumetric nodule growth rather than diameter, it cut the referral rate from NLST's 24% of positives to 2.1% — the difference between a programme that overwhelms services and one that does not.
Publications
Reduced Lung-Cancer Mortality with Volume CT Screening in a Randomized Trial
de Koning HJ, van der Aalst CM, de Jong PA, et al. Reduced Lung-Cancer Mortality with Volume CT Screening in a Randomized Trial. N Engl J Med 2020 Feb 6;382(6):503-513.
Significant reduction in lung cancer mortality versus no screening
Referral rate for suspicious nodules only 2.1%
Volumetric nodule assessment rather than diameter thresholds